Heat Pump (Air-Source or Ducted Mini-Split)
The LA electrification winner — 300-400% efficiency, $200-$400/year operating cost, $3K+ stacked rebates.
Strengths
- 300-400% efficiency — uses electricity to move heat
- Operating cost lowest — $200-$400/year for typical LA home
- $3K+ in stacked rebates (LADWP + IRA + SoCalGas)
- Provides AC + heating in one system
Weaknesses
- Higher upfront cost than furnace-only
- Less efficient at very low temperatures (below 25°F, rare in LA)
- Auxiliary heat (resistance coil) needed for backup
- Requires 240V electrical capacity
Heat pump's rebate stack makes the math obvious in LA. $1,500 LADWP + $2,000 IRA + $500 SoCalGas decommissioning = $4,000 in credits on a $15K install. Net $11K with lower operating cost than gas. Pays back the premium over gas furnace in 5-7 years. After year 7, pure operating-cost savings.
Best for: Most LA homes — electrification-first strategy, current code-compliant, best long-term operating cost.